I think they're using Zillow values to price the cost of destruction. Or just making it up. Last I saw on the "number of structures destroyed" it was 1200. At a MILLION dollars apiece, that's 1.2 billion dollars to replace. Not the soaring numbers they're reporting - "at least 250 billion....perhaps closer to 500 billion" as you'll find in every news article. The ground didn't burn - it's still there. Yes, there are some apartment buildings and schools in there. Let's say the new construction number is TEN TIMES my estimate - average of TEN million....you're still only at 12 billion. It's as if they're intending to build them out of gold.
Remember the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect. Reporters are ignorant morons, and I bet many of them didn't take the five seconds needed to ponder that the real estate under the burned houses is a big part of valuations.
But, yes, there is utility for them in talking up the cost of the damage.
Well, to be fair, I didn't take into consideration the 99.9% overhead cost of laundering the money through the California and LA County and city governments.
The gov is already consulting the Hawaii gov on how to make the most of the property with land development sales. The demeanor of Newsome discussing this with a reporter should make every Californian angry as hell. IMO. He could barely contain his glee. Bidin has promised full compensation. The state and banks will walk away with our tax money giving the people who lost everything a meager pittance of the value of their loss. Then a fortune will be made redeveloping.
Yes I do not think Trump will follow through with the sweeping cover everything promise that Bidin gave but he will feel compelled to give out disaster funding.
Our home is roughly the size of the one you used. We have a slightly larger parcel of land. Our house was $115,000. I have family who have purchased homes for 1-2 million and they aren’t large. They would be $250,000 at most in KS. That’s with the current market. Buying a home is an investment that for a lot of people is their greatest asset. They’ve lost their asset and likely for some, they won’t have the financial ability to live in CA and rebuild.
Expect most of the homes are mortgaged. Now owing millions and having no place to live there will be massive bankruptcies and mortgage defaults due to canceled fire insurance. The burned lot being worth a small fraction of what it was worth for no longer being in the neighborhood it once was. The building material and labor shortages of COVID will pale vs what is coming.
Just think how easily LA was destroyed, and where else if we were at war?
On another note, I have a friend who lost a home in Altadena, she is conservative, but she says that every single person she has spoken to in her area, conservative or liberal, says they are voting red next time. That has been a large topic of discussion. I have another friend who's mother and grandmother lost homes in Pacific Palisades. They are all woke liberals having the same discussion with the same results. All voting red next time. I guess having to pay the personal price of democratic policy and decisions is a wake-up call.
I think they're using Zillow values to price the cost of destruction. Or just making it up. Last I saw on the "number of structures destroyed" it was 1200. At a MILLION dollars apiece, that's 1.2 billion dollars to replace. Not the soaring numbers they're reporting - "at least 250 billion....perhaps closer to 500 billion" as you'll find in every news article. The ground didn't burn - it's still there. Yes, there are some apartment buildings and schools in there. Let's say the new construction number is TEN TIMES my estimate - average of TEN million....you're still only at 12 billion. It's as if they're intending to build them out of gold.
As John Stossel would say, "Give me a break!"
Remember the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect. Reporters are ignorant morons, and I bet many of them didn't take the five seconds needed to ponder that the real estate under the burned houses is a big part of valuations.
But, yes, there is utility for them in talking up the cost of the damage.
Well, to be fair, I didn't take into consideration the 99.9% overhead cost of laundering the money through the California and LA County and city governments.
The gov is already consulting the Hawaii gov on how to make the most of the property with land development sales. The demeanor of Newsome discussing this with a reporter should make every Californian angry as hell. IMO. He could barely contain his glee. Bidin has promised full compensation. The state and banks will walk away with our tax money giving the people who lost everything a meager pittance of the value of their loss. Then a fortune will be made redeveloping.
Biden can promise whatever. He's gone in 5 days.
But, yeah, there's going to be a mad scrum for advantage, and given that California is full of greedy politicians, they'll be in the middle of it.
Yes I do not think Trump will follow through with the sweeping cover everything promise that Bidin gave but he will feel compelled to give out disaster funding.
Our home is roughly the size of the one you used. We have a slightly larger parcel of land. Our house was $115,000. I have family who have purchased homes for 1-2 million and they aren’t large. They would be $250,000 at most in KS. That’s with the current market. Buying a home is an investment that for a lot of people is their greatest asset. They’ve lost their asset and likely for some, they won’t have the financial ability to live in CA and rebuild.
Expect most of the homes are mortgaged. Now owing millions and having no place to live there will be massive bankruptcies and mortgage defaults due to canceled fire insurance. The burned lot being worth a small fraction of what it was worth for no longer being in the neighborhood it once was. The building material and labor shortages of COVID will pale vs what is coming.
Just think how easily LA was destroyed, and where else if we were at war?
On another note, I have a friend who lost a home in Altadena, she is conservative, but she says that every single person she has spoken to in her area, conservative or liberal, says they are voting red next time. That has been a large topic of discussion. I have another friend who's mother and grandmother lost homes in Pacific Palisades. They are all woke liberals having the same discussion with the same results. All voting red next time. I guess having to pay the personal price of democratic policy and decisions is a wake-up call.